Cuba’s communist regime is in trouble. Cuba asked for UN assistance late last month. Bloomberg said that Cuba had been “Hurt”, by US restrictions, the decay of its domestic industry, the weak post-Covid tourism sector, and the indifference from its allies.
In 2021, another economic crisis led to mass protests. The government violently suppressed them. A large number of Cubans fled to the U.S. Most of these Cuban migrants were educated young Cubans who had lost faith in the Communist System. They left the socialist system behind.
People were already suffering from food shortages but then blackouts started due to energy shortages. They were forced to go to the streets to demand “food” as well as “power”.
You’ll see the collapse of the socialist regime in Cuba after you’ve moved past the finger-pointing. This transition may last for decades, or it could happen as Ernest Hemingway describes bankruptcy: “gradually, then suddenly.” “This political change must be driven by the Cuban people. This threatens the Cuban government and its future. It is an unacceptable threat to those still in charge of the country.
Over half a million Cubans have entered the United States in the last two years by traveling through Mexico. If the Cuban economy collapses, how many Cubans are likely to come to the United States?
I recall the Mariel Boatlift. More than 125,000 Cubans traveled the 90 miles to the U.S. in 1980. Castro took advantage of the boatlift to clean out his prisons, causing a crime wave that has affected Miami to this day.
Imagine a 10 or 20-fold increase in the amount after the economic collapse in Cuba.
He told me that “the result could have been a failed state, with mass migration and transnational criminal groups establishing a base. He said that the result could have led to a failed country, mass migration, and criminal transnational groups setting up a base. This would have been a much bigger problem for the United States, a catastrophe.
Cubans are in denial right now. Cuba’s Communist government increased the price of gasoline by 500% in an attempt to control inflation.
They will continue to leave, making “brain-drain” a problem. The “brain drain” will continue as they leave.
The U.S. should offer Cuba help if it asks while insisting that Cuba reforms to recover. Prepare for a few million more “guests”.
