Two drones laden with explosives were believed to have been launched from Ukraine. The Russians say that Vladimir Putin was not in the vicinity and is safe. However, I have it on good authority that you can’t find a pair of brown trousers for sale in Moscow at any price. The size of the impact indicates the drones were from inside Russia.
Russia claimed this was an attempted assassination of Putin.
BREAKING: The Russian government claims Ukrainian drones tried to attack the Kremlin in Moscow overnight.
Russia has called it an assassination attempt on Pres. Vladimir Putin. Ukraine has denied any responsibility. pic.twitter.com/QTZbggIBNd
— CBS Mornings (@CBSMornings) May 3, 2023
According to Russia’s social media mouthpieces, the fact that Putin wasn’t killed indicates that the attack was a failure.
Ukraine attempted a drone strike on the Kremlin, targeting Vladimir Putin. It failed. pic.twitter.com/4KyNh1k6bw
— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) May 3, 2023
Wow! Ukraine attacked the Kremlin! Russia said Ukraine attacked with drones overnight in a failed bid to kill President Vladimir Putin. It claimed that two drones were used in the attack on Putin’s residence in the citadel, but that the attack was foiled by electronic defences. pic.twitter.com/QwD78aNX86
— Mike (@Doranimated) May 3, 2023
Kiev denied responsibility and said that the Russians were behind the attack. They claimed this was a provocative act to justify more terrorist attacks in Ukrainian cities.
BREAKING: Zelensky advisor Mykhailo Podolyak denies Ukraine carried out the Kremlin UAV attack
— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) May 3, 2023
Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president was in Helsinki at the time of the attack. It’s a strange location to be when you are trying to assassinate Putin. He also denies Ukrianian involvement.
Zelensky, in Finland, denies Ukraine attacked the Kremlin.
“We don’t attack Putin or Moscow. We fight on our territory. … We don’t have enough, you know, weapons for this.”
“We didn’t attack Putin. We leave it to the tribunal.”pic.twitter.com/PsdtR4wUIW
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) May 3, 2023
The official accounts of this war make you feel like you’re trapped in a house of mirrors.
It is a blatant lie to call this an assassination. Putin is not known to anyone outside his inner circle. If the Ukrainians were able to gather enough intelligence on Putin, his problems are much more serious than quadrocopters crashing into a Kremlin domed building.
Two drones with explosives were used to attack the Kremlin. When the Russians say that their electronic defenses stopped them, it is reasonable to ask which side they are on. This is the same country that bombed its own city.
Ukraine has struck targets deep within Russia at several times. All of these targets were purely military. An attack on the Kremlin directly would be a departure from Ukraine’s current modus operandi. Striking the Kremlin, however, makes Russia appear weak. It is a mystery who in the Kremlin thought up this idea. In best case scenario, it could create a bubble that supports Putin and puts him over 100% in official polls.
I’m not a fan of Jonah Goldberg but I do tend to agree.
Also, I have to think the Ukrainians have better intel for an assassination attempt than “somewhere under the roof of the Kremlin,” particularly when he apparently wasn’t even there. It also looks like a Universal Studios show given the low-wattage pyrotechnics. https://t.co/UZmshubQOX
— Jonah Goldberg (@JonahDispatch) May 3, 2023
This mystery is a mystery. You can see it on the lower right of the dome if you carefully watch the video of drones hitting the dome.
Two people can be seen climbing the dome at the Kremlin as the reported Ukrainian drone hits….. pic.twitter.com/sf0j9CGLlr
— Richard (@ricwe123) May 3, 2023
The video quality coming from Moscow is of high standard.
There were two strikes on the Kremlin, 16 minutes apart – Russian media.
The first drone was spotted over the Kremlin at 2:27 a.m. Moscow time. It exploded over the Senate palace and the palace’s roof was set on fire.
The second drone struck at 2:43 a.m. Its fragments fell on… pic.twitter.com/Ml4Vjryqlw
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) May 3, 2023
It has led to the claim that this was an “false-flag” attack. This Twitter thread is a good defense for that theory.
2) Kremlin gladly confirmed the attack within a few hours. They never do it, preferring to look stupid, not humiliated. Remember all the stories about “the Flagship Moskva sank because of the storm” and “it was a fire because of smoking, not a missile attack” Now it’s different/2
— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) May 3, 2023
3) Last week, there were rumors, the Ukrainians tried to kill Putin with a drone amid his province visit. They were spread by a Ukrainian person close to an institution with a… special reputation. From the today’s perspective, it looks like a preparation of media landscape. /3
— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) May 3, 2023
5) All other “facts” (including the videos themselves) are not confirmed yet and need to be seen as speculations in a best case, or even as fakes in worst case.
6) Keep minds clear, question the messages you are been served with. /END— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) May 3, 2023
The chairman of the Duma has a reaction that is over the top.
Vyacheslav Volodin is quick to react to the unexplained incident in Kremlin, accusing Ukraine of no less than nuclear blackmail❗️, assassinations of political and public figures❗️, undermining civilian facilities❗️, attempting to murder Putin*.
Looking forward to what Dmitry… pic.twitter.com/lXoXDCehEx
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) May 3, 2023
If the attack is related to Putin’s War in Ukraine I believe it was carried out independently by autonomous partisans. It is not unusual for these attacks to target recruiting stations, but also infrastructure. Over the weekend, two Russian trains that were carrying supplies to the Russian Army in Ukraine derailed within Russia. From a Ukrainian point of view, the timing of the attack is illogical. However, an attack on Kremlin before Victory Day might appeal to freelancer partisans. This is against Ukraine’s strategic interests. The potential damage is greater than any sugar rush that drones bounce off the Kremlin. Ukraine is negotiating weapons systems with the US, notably the Army Tactical Missile System. This would allow the Ukrainian armed force to strike targets behind Russian lines. The US has denied this because they are afraid that Ukraine could use the weapons to strike targets in Russia outside of the theatre of operations. The US only gave the Ukrainians kits for converting conventional bombs to long-range precision weapons recently. An attack on the Kremlin will scupper all Ukrainian hopes for long-range weapons.
It’s a vatnik strategy to cope with the situation. You haven’t paid attention if you believe that Russia has not used every weapon at its disposal from March to April 2022. Russia has used all of its non-nuclear weapons to attack Ukraine. It failed to destroy Ukraine’s army and it failed to destroy Ukrainian civil morale. He cannot “escalate”, conventionally, because the Russian military is s**. Xi Jinping is Putin’s puppetmaster and not an ally. He will not allow Putin to use nuclear weaponry.
It is unlikely that Russia will launch a large-scale attack on Ukraine’s strategic periphery. It is most likely that Russia will use the old tactic of “waving the shirt with blood” to rally support and increase military enlistments. Good luck.