Here’s How To Cry Wolf

Looking back at some COVID-19 studies there’s one in particular that stands out. The Imperial College Study, the one that had millions dying and the Zombie Apocalypse about to break out. This study predicts that attempts to slow, or mitigate the disease could overwhelm the number of hospital beds and lead to about 250,000 deaths in the U.K and more than a million in the United States during the course of the disease. This study alone formed the basis of so much panic.

Well that exact study just called into serious question by its author. The numbers were revised to show dramatic drops in the estimates of deaths and the number of hospital beds needed to tackle the crisis. What a remarkable turn for Neil Ferguson who led the study. He even noted, due to his drastic change in numbers, that the lockdown “helped” which is interesting due to the fact that the lockdown only began 2 days before the study was released and in the study’s theory lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work.

It will come as no surprise that most of the predictions haven’t come to fruition. The language surrounding the trends of the studies were manipulated by the media to initiate one narrative in mind – fear. The New York Times came out with an “interesting” piece. They claimed The Trump Administration was privately projecting daily coronavirus deaths to nearly double by June 1. May 4th deaths stood at 68,606 per Worldometers. That would mean June 1st we’d be looking at roughly 136,000 deaths from this virus. 

The CDC forecasted 3,000 daily deaths and 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month. These are some wild numbers to unfold for the month of May. And hmmmm, here we are. End of May. The number tolls at 105,611 in deaths. Still too many but a far cry from the predicted 136,000. Instead of 3,000 daily deaths the number tolls at 1,370. Rather than 200,000 new cases each day, we’ve averaged less than 23,000.

This struck me as an aim to scare people out of the consequences of trying to put the pieces of their lives back together and get to work. Putting the economy back together again. The projected misleading headline/story agenda to the New York Times has simply missed the mark. The bold predictions by their “experts” are wrong. Again.

The fear tweets are not consistent with the numbers and the flaws/fallacies of the various reporting and expert predictions are coming out more and more. When we most need experts to step-up and provide reliable information to the media, they’ve fallen short. The Liberals have provoked the fear of people leaving their homes so they can work. They’ve played these angles to work on government pet projects and have cried wolf too many times. 

It’s time to reconsider whether and to what extent we rely on the “experts.”