Alarming Update: How Close Is Iran to Acquiring Nuclear Weapons?

According to Axios, officials are focusing on computer modeling.

Axios reported two U.S. officials and an Israeli official, as well as a current Israeli government official, are examining new information about computer modeling performed by Iranian scientists. This information could be used for the development of nuclear weapons.

What it means: Although the purpose of the modeling is unclear, some U.S. and Israeli officials claim that intelligence shows Iran’s intention to develop nuclear weaponry. Some officials in both countries have said that it is a “blip” and does not reflect a change to Iran’s policy or strategy towards weaponization. Iran denies wanting nuclear weapons.

In the paragraph above, it is stated that “Iran denied wanting nuclear weapons repeatedly.” The Iranians deny many things and have been shown to be blatantly liars.

U.S. The U.S.-Israel Strategic Consultative Group will meet at the White House on Thursday to discuss recent developments. It is the first time since March 2023 that U.S. officials and Israelis have met on this topic.

While intelligence officers in the administration continue to downplay the threat posed by a nuclear Iran, other experts do not share their optimism:

Intelligence community has been concluding for years that Iran is not actively working to build a nuclear weapon. Richard Goldberg said that Iran may have an assembly line to produce fissile material, but there is no evidence it has actively weaponized the materials. Richard Goldberg is a senior advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a Washington-based nonpartisan think tank.

Goldberg warned that the administration estimated that it would take 18 months while Israelis thought that it would only take a year. The timeline could be shorter if weaponization has already begun and computer models have been perfected.

The prospect of a nuclear Iran is a terrifying one for all, but especially for Israel. If they are forced to act and when, will it be?